Study: long-shot Polymarket bets on military action, defined as wagers of $2,500+ at odds of <35%, have an average ~52% win rate, above 25% for political bets (Financial Times)
Financial Times: Study: long-shot Polymarket bets on military action, defined as wagers of $2,500+ at odds of
Financial Times:
Study: long-shot Polymarket bets on military action, defined as wagers of $2,500+ at odds of <35%, have an average ~52% win rate, above 25% for political bets — High rate of winning wagers likely to add to concerns that sensitive information can leak on prediction markets
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